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Modeling Myanmar
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model which lies at heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Myanmar economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Myanmar through the optic of the model. Chapter 2 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
Myanmar; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling Myanmar
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model which lies at heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Myanmar economy relevant for building the structural model ...
Modeling Georgia
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model which lies at heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Georgian economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Georgia through the optic of the model. Chapter 2 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
Georgia; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling Georgia
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model which lies at heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Georgian economy relevant for building the structural ...
Modeling Russia
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Russian economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Russia through the optic of the model. Chapter 2 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
Russia; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling Russia
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Russian economy relevant for building the structural model ...
Modeling Kyrgyzstan
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report consists of three chapters. Chapter 1 - Introduction is concluded with a short description of Kyrgyz economy and some of the stylized facts. The report continues with two chapters. Chapter 2 describes the structural model which lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Kyrgyz economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Kyrgyzstan through the lenses of the model. Chapter 3 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
Kyrgyzstan; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling Kyrgyzstan
The report consists of three chapters. Chapter 1 - Introduction is concluded with a short description of Kyrgyz economy and some of the stylized facts. The report continues with two chapters. Chapter ...
Modeling Moldova
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model which lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Moldovan economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Moldova through the lens of the model. Chapter 2 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
Moldova; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling Moldova
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model which lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Moldovan economy relevant for building the structural ...
Sourcing patterns of FDI activity and their impact on the domestic economy
Nikolovová, Pavla
2013 - English
Keywords:
foreign direct investment; inter-industry interactions; international trade flows
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Sourcing patterns of FDI activity and their impact on the domestic economy
Modeling Kazakhstan
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Kazah economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in Kazakhstan through the optic of the model. Chapter 2 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is as- sessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We con- clude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
Kazakhstan; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling Kazakhstan
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the Kazah economy relevant for building the structural model and ...
Modeling South Africa
Cincibuch, M.; Kejak, Michal; Vávra, D.; Auda, O.; Aslanyan, Gurgen; Baksa, D.; Bečičková, Hana; Daniš, P.; Hřebíček, Hynek; Janjgava, Batlome; Kacer, R.; Kameník, O.; Konopecký, F.; Lukáč, J.; Mirzoyan, Armen; Motl, Tomáš; Musil, K.; Plotnikov, S.; Remo, A.; Szilágyi, K.; Vlček, J.
2013 - English
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the South African economy relevant for building the structural model and describes in detail the most distinctive parts of the model. The chapter concludes with an analysis of the model properties and an interpretation of past economic developments in South Africa through the optic of the model. Chapter 2 evaluates how the FPAS performs empirically. The forecasting power is assessed by in-sample comparison with the standard random-walk benchmark. We conclude that the FPAS performs satisfactorily in this comparison.
Keywords:
South Africa; forecasting and policy analysis system
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Modeling South Africa
The report has two chapters. Chapter 1 describes the structural model lies at the heart of the FPAS. It summarizes the main features of the South African economy relevant for building the structural ...
Risk preferences under acute stress
Cingl, L.; Cahlíková, Jana
2013 - English
Many important decisions are made under stress and they often involve risky alternatives. There has been ample evidence that stress impairs decision making in cognitive as well as in affective domains, but still very little is known about whether individual attitudes to risk change with exposure to acute stress. To directly evaluate the causal effect of stress on risk attitudes, we adopt an experimental approach in which we randomly expose participants to a psychosocial stressor in the form of a standard laboratory stress-induction procedure: the Trier Social Stress Test for Groups. Risk preferences are elicited using an incentive compatible task, which has been previously shown to predict risk-oriented behavior out of the laboratory.
Keywords:
risk preferences; stress; Trier Social Stress Test for Groups; cortisol
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Risk preferences under acute stress
Many important decisions are made under stress and they often involve risky alternatives. There has been ample evidence that stress impairs decision making in cognitive as well as in affective ...
Explaining the strength and the efficiency of monetary policy transmission: a panel of impulse responses from a time-varying parameter model
Matějů, Jakub
2013 - English
Keywords:
monetary policy transmission; TVP-VAR; sign-restrictions
Available at various institutes of the ASCR
Explaining the strength and the efficiency of monetary policy transmission: a panel of impulse responses from a time-varying parameter model
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